D2 Men's Soccer Ratings

Updated Oct 2, 6:34 a.m. ET · 2026 season · 915 games between D2 teams so far

Rankings · Conference Carolinas · Super Region 2

Ferrum College

Ranked 149th of 202 D2 teams (likely between 111th and 173rd) and 10th of 15 in the Carolinas. Not eligible for the 2026 NCAA tournament: it is still moving into Division II.

Record 5-3-2 (W-L-T) · 4-3-2 against D2 teams

NCAA tournament chance

Not eligible

Rank

149 of 202

Likely between 111th and 173rd

10th of 15 in the Carolinas (likely 6th to 12th)

Rating

−0.46

Would lose to an average D2 team by about 0.5 goals a game, on a neutral field.

Likely range −0.93 to −0.04

Attack and defense

Attack −0.25: scores 0.25 fewer goals a game than an average D2 team.

Defense −0.21: concedes 0.21 more goals a game than an average D2 team.

Attack + defense = rating.

What it takes to make the NCAA tournament

Ferrum cannot be picked in 2026: schools still moving into Division II are not eligible. Its results still count for its opponents.

Rating over the season

Line: rating after each daily update. Shaded: likely range. Above 0 is better than an average D2 team.

−1.5−1.0−0.50+0.5Oct

How sure is the rank?

Taller bars are more likely. Ferrum likely (8 in 10) ranks between 111th and 173rd.

5881104127150173better rank →

Still to play

win tie loss chances for each game. A tie can be the likeliest single score even when a win is more likely overall.

Oct 3 at Chowan W 15% · T 16% · L 69% likeliest 1–2
Oct 10 at Mount Olive W 46% · T 21% · L 34% likeliest 1–1
Oct 14 v Barton W 51% · T 22% · L 27% likeliest 1–1
Oct 17 at Francis Marion W 13% · T 21% · L 66% likeliest 0–1
Oct 20 v King (TN) W 48% · T 26% · L 26% likeliest 1–0
Oct 20 v Chowan W 22% · T 19% · L 59% likeliest 1–2

Results

How much each result changed the rating. A win can lower it if the model expected a bigger win; a narrow loss to a strong team can raise it.

Sep 30 v Francis Marion L 0–1 Rating +0.02
Sep 26 at North Greenville L 3–4 Rating −0.11
Sep 23 v Virginia St. W 3–1 Rating −0.00
Sep 19 v Southern Wesleyan L 0–1 Rating −0.00
Sep 16 v Mount Olive W 2–0 Rating +0.08
Sep 12 at Converse T 1–1 Rating +0.08
Sep 9 at Shaw W 3–2 Rating −0.04
Sep 5 at Barton W 3–1 Rating +0.05
Aug 27 at Erskine T 0–0 Rating +0.01
Aug 20 at Presbyterian · not a D2 team, not rated W 1–0