Rankings · DII Independent · Super Region 4

Virginia State University

Ranked 199th of 202 D2 teams (likely between 192nd and 202nd). Not eligible for the 2026 NCAA tournament: it is still moving into Division II.

Record 1-6-1 (W-L-T) · 0-6-1 against D2 teams

NCAA tournament chance

Not eligible

Rank

199 of 202

Likely between 192nd and 202nd

Rating

−2.32

Would lose to an average D2 team by about 2.3 goals a game, on a neutral field.

Likely range −3.08 to −1.64

Attack and defense

Attack −0.53: scores 0.53 fewer goals a game than an average D2 team.

Defense −1.78: concedes 1.78 more goals a game than an average D2 team.

Attack + defense = rating.

What it takes to make the NCAA tournament

Virginia St. cannot be picked in 2026: schools still moving into Division II are not eligible. Its results still count for its opponents.

Line: rating after each daily update. Shaded: likely range. Above 0 is better than an average D2 team.

Taller bars are more likely. Virginia St. likely (8 in 10) ranks between 192nd and 202nd.

win tie loss chances for each game. A tie can be the likeliest single score even when a win is more likely overall.

Oct 4 at JWU Charlotte Not ratednot a D2 team, not rated

Oct 7 at Pfeiffer Not ratednot a D2 team, not rated

Oct 17 v Shaw W 42% · T 18% · L 40% likeliest 2–2

Oct 24 v Salem (WV) W 20% · T 17% · L 63% likeliest 1–2

Oct 28 at Howard Not ratednot a D2 team, not rated

Nov 4 at Shaw W 31% · T 17% · L 51% likeliest 1–2

How much each result changed the rating. A win can lower it if the model expected a bigger win; a narrow loss to a strong team can raise it.

Sep 30 at Dist. Columbia L 0–3 Rating −0.05

Sep 26 at Frostburg St. T 0–0 Rating +0.30

Sep 23 at Ferrum L 1–3 Rating −0.01

Sep 19 at Mid-Atlantic Christ. · not a D2 team, not rated W 8–0

Sep 16 at Catawba L 0–8 Rating −0.32

Sep 12 v Chestnut Hill L 3–4 Rating −0.15

Aug 29 v Lees-McRae L 0–2 Rating +0.04

Aug 27 v Concord L 0–2 Rating +0.11