D2 Men's Soccer Ratings

Updated Oct 2, 6:34 a.m. ET · 2026 season · 915 games between D2 teams so far

Super Region 4: who gets in

10 teams from Super Region 4 make the NCAA tournament: the 5 conference champions (auto bids, from CCAA, GNAC, Lone Star, PacWest, RMAC) and the 5 highest by NPI among the rest (at-large places). This is our projection of where each team's NPI ends the regular season. How qualifying works.

projected NPI likely range cut line: NPI of the last at-large team in, about 56.3 shaded: where the cut line usually falls bubble 20% to 80% NCAA chance

Wins conf. %: chance of winning its conference tournament (the auto bid). NCAA %: chance of making the NCAA tournament either way.

# Team projected NPI · better →
505560
 Proj. NPI Wins conf. % NCAA %
1 Midwestern St. ★Lone Star · 9-0-2 against D2 · wins conf. 60% 61.1 60% >99% 2 CSU Pueblo ★RMAC · 7-0-1 against D2 · wins conf. 24% 59.5 24% 94% 3 Cal State LA ★CCAA · 8-0-1 against D2 · wins conf. 29% 58.6 29% 90% 4 Seattle Pacific bubble ★GNAC · 7-2-1 against D2 · wins conf. 31% 57.4 31% 76% 5 CSUSB bubble ★CCAA · 7-0-2 against D2 · wins conf. 28% 57.3 28% 75% 6 UCCS bubble ★RMAC · 5-1-4 against D2 · wins conf. 16% 57.0 16% 69% 7 Fort Lewis bubble ★RMAC · 5-2-2 against D2 · wins conf. 25% 56.9 25% 67% 8 Regis (CO) bubble ★RMAC · 4-2-2 against D2 · wins conf. 15% 56.3 15% 56% 9 Northwest Nazarene bubble ★GNAC · 6-1-4 against D2 · wins conf. 14% 55.6 14% 40% 10 Western Ore. bubble ★GNAC · 5-2-4 against D2 · wins conf. 33% 55.4 33% 47% 11 MSU Denver bubble ★RMAC · 5-2-3 against D2 · wins conf. 9% 55.0 9% 30% 12 Western Wash. bubble ★GNAC · 6-3-2 against D2 · wins conf. 13% 54.4 13% 24% 13 Colorado Mesa ★RMAC · 3-1-5 against D2 · wins conf. 5% 54.0 5% 16% 14 UT Dallas ★Lone Star · 6-1-3 against D2 · wins conf. 7% 53.6 7% 14% 15 St. Mary's (TX) ★Lone Star · 5-3-0 against D2 · wins conf. 12% 53.2 12% 16% 16 Point Loma bubble ★PacWest · 4-3-3 against D2 · wins conf. 36% 53.0 36% 36% 17 Cal Poly Pomona ★CCAA · 3-3-3 against D2 · wins conf. 11% 52.7 11% 14% 18 Cal St. Dom. Hills ★CCAA · 5-3-3 against D2 · wins conf. 12% 52.6 12% 13% 19 Simon Fraser ★GNAC · 2-2-5 against D2 · wins conf. 9% 52.4 9% 10% 20 Cal St. San Marcos ★CCAA · 6-3-1 against D2 · wins conf. 5% 52.3 5% 6% 21 Cal St. Monterey Bay ★CCAA · 4-2-3 against D2 · wins conf. 3% 52.0 3% 5% 22 DBU ★Lone Star · 4-2-4 against D2 · wins conf. 5% 51.9 5% 6% 23 Westminster (UT) ★RMAC · 2-4-4 against D2 · wins conf. 4% 51.4 4% 4% 24 Okla. Christian ★Lone Star · 4-3-2 against D2 · wins conf. 4% 51.4 4% 4% 25 Hawaii Hilo ★PacWest · 4-4-1 against D2 · wins conf. 19% 51.2 19% 19% 26 CUI ★PacWest · 6-4-1 against D2 · wins conf. 16% 51.1 16% 16% 27 Tex. A&M Int'l ★Lone Star · 4-3-2 against D2 · wins conf. 2% 50.6 2% 2% 28 Stanislaus St. ★CCAA · 2-4-4 against D2 · wins conf. 6% 50.5 6% 6% 29 Lubbock Christian ★Lone Star · 4-5-1 against D2 · wins conf. 4% 50.0 4% 4% 30 Menlo not eligible ★CCAA · 4-3-2 against D2 · wins conf. Not eligible 49.8 n/a n/a

Showing the top 30 of 52 teams, ordered by projected NPI. Each team's NPI now is on its own page. Our NPI is rebuilt from the NCAA's published settings; the NCAA publishes the official NPI on ncaa.com from Oct 12.