Rankings · Pacific West Conference · Super Region 4

Vanguard University

Ranked 135th of 202 D2 teams (likely between 89th and 162nd) and 7th of 10 in the PacWest. Not eligible for the 2026 NCAA tournament: it is still moving into Division II.

Record 3-5-2 (W-L-T) · 3-5-2 against D2 teams

NCAA tournament chance

Not eligible

Rank

135 of 202

Likely between 89th and 162nd

7th of 10 in the PacWest (likely 4th to 8th)

Rating

−0.26

Would lose to an average D2 team by about 0.3 goals a game, on a neutral field.

Likely range −0.70 to +0.17

Attack and defense

Attack −0.04: scores 0.04 fewer goals a game than an average D2 team.

Defense −0.21: concedes 0.21 more goals a game than an average D2 team.

Attack + defense = rating.

What it takes to make the NCAA tournament

Vanguard cannot be picked in 2026: schools still moving into Division II are not eligible. Its results still count for its opponents.

Rating over the season

Line: rating after each daily update. Shaded: likely range. Above 0 is better than an average D2 team.

How sure is the rank?

Taller bars are more likely. Vanguard likely (8 in 10) ranks between 89th and 162nd.

Still to play

win tie loss chances for each game. A tie can be the likeliest single score even when a win is more likely overall.

Oct 3 v Hawaii Pacific W 49% · T 22% · L 30% likeliest 1–1

Oct 10 at CUI W 25% · T 20% · L 55% likeliest 1–2

Oct 14 at Jessup W 60% · T 19% · L 21% likeliest 2–1

Oct 16 at Dominican (CA) W 32% · T 21% · L 47% likeliest 1–1

Oct 21 at Point Loma W 14% · T 16% · L 71% likeliest 1–2

Oct 28 v Biola W 39% · T 23% · L 38% likeliest 1–1

Results

How much each result changed the rating. A win can lower it if the model expected a bigger win; a narrow loss to a strong team can raise it.

Oct 1 v Chaminade W 1–0 Rating +0.00

Sep 28 v Hawaii Hilo T 2–2 Rating +0.01

Sep 23 v Westmont W 4–3 Rating +0.01

Sep 17 v Point Loma L 2–4 Rating −0.04

Sep 12 v Cal St. East Bay W 3–2 Rating +0.01

Sep 10 v Cal St. Monterey Bay L 0–1 Rating +0.00

Sep 5 v Cal Poly Pomona T 1–1 Rating +0.04

Sep 3 v Cal St. San Marcos L 0–3 Rating −0.09

Aug 29 at Cal State LA L 0–4 Rating −0.10

Aug 27 v Cal St. Dom. Hills L 1–4 Rating −0.10